Round 1 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Sunday 3 March, 1:30 pm	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	39% 61%	South Sydney Rabbitohs	36–24
Sunday 3 March, 3:30 pm	Sydney Roosters	77% 23%	Brisbane Broncos	20–10
Thursday 7 March, 8:00 pm	Newcastle Knights	37% 63%	Canberra Raiders	12–28
Friday 8 March, 6:00 pm	New Zealand Warriors	38% 62%	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	12–16
Friday 8 March, 8:05 pm	Melbourne Storm	47% 53%	Penrith Panthers	8–0
Saturday 9 March, 5:30 pm	Parramatta Eels	76% 24%	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	26–8
Saturday 9 March, 7:35 pm	Gold Coast Titans	39% 61%	St. George Illawarra Dragons	4–28
Sunday 10 March, 4:05 pm	Dolphins	79% 21%	North Queensland Cowboys	18–43

Round 2 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 8:00 pm	Brisbane Broncos	37% 63%	South Sydney Rabbitohs	28–18
Friday, 6:00 pm	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	75% 25%	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	25–6
Friday, 8:05 pm	Penrith Panthers	72% 28%	Parramatta Eels	26–18
Saturday, 3:00 pm	Canberra Raiders	77% 23%	Wests Tigers	32–12
Saturday, 5:30 pm	North Queensland Cowboys	77% 23%	Newcastle Knights	21–20*
Saturday, 7:35 pm	Melbourne Storm	77% 23%	New Zealand Warriors	30–26
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	39% 61%	Sydney Roosters	21–14
Sunday, 6:15 pm	Dolphins	73% 27%	St. George Illawarra Dragons	38–0

Round 3 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 8:00 pm	Penrith Panthers	76% 24%	Brisbane Broncos	34–12
Friday, 6:00 pm	New Zealand Warriors	29% 71%	Canberra Raiders	18–10
Friday, 8:05 pm	Sydney Roosters	79% 21%	South Sydney Rabbitohs	48–6
Saturday, 3:00 pm	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	68% 32%	Gold Coast Titans	32–0
Saturday, 5:30 pm	St. George Illawarra Dragons	32% 68%	North Queensland Cowboys	24–46
Saturday, 7:35 pm	Wests Tigers	31% 69%	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	32–6
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Parramatta Eels	70% 30%	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	28–24
Sunday, 6:15 pm	Newcastle Knights	30% 70%	Melbourne Storm	14–12

Round 4 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 8:00 pm	Sydney Roosters	42% 58%	Penrith Panthers	16–22
Friday, 4:05 pm	South Sydney Rabbitohs	71% 29%	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	20–16
Friday, 8:00 pm	Brisbane Broncos	30% 70%	North Queensland Cowboys	38–12
Saturday, 5:30 pm	St. George Illawarra Dragons	64% 36%	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	20–12
Saturday, 7:35 pm	Gold Coast Titans	72% 28%	Dolphins	14–30
Sunday, 4:05 pm	New Zealand Warriors	47% 53%	Newcastle Knights	20–12
Sunday, 6:15 pm	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	75% 25%	Canberra Raiders	36–22
Monday, 4:00 pm	Parramatta Eels	79% 21%	Wests Tigers	16–17

Round 5 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 7:50 pm	Melbourne Storm	76% 24%	Brisbane Broncos	34–32
Friday, 6:00 pm	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	31% 69%	Sydney Roosters	30–26
Friday, 8:00 pm	Newcastle Knights	32% 68%	St. George Illawarra Dragons	30–10
Saturday, 3:00 pm	South Sydney Rabbitohs	72% 28%	New Zealand Warriors	4–34
Saturday, 5:30 pm	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	32% 68%	Penrith Panthers	32–18
Saturday, 7:35 pm	Dolphins	79% 21%	Wests Tigers	26–16
Sunday, 4:05 pm	North Queensland Cowboys	77% 23%	Gold Coast Titans	35–22
Sunday, 6:15 pm	Canberra Raiders	48% 52%	Parramatta Eels	41–8

Round 6 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 7:50 pm	Newcastle Knights	41% 59%	Sydney Roosters	20–22
Friday, 6:00 pm	Melbourne Storm	76% 24%	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	16–14
Friday, 8:00 pm	Brisbane Broncos	71% 29%	Dolphins	28–14
Saturday, 3:00 pm	New Zealand Warriors	39% 61%	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	22–22*
Saturday, 5:30 pm	Parramatta Eels	33% 67%	North Queensland Cowboys	27–20
Saturday, 7:35 pm	South Sydney Rabbitohs	40% 60%	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	22–34
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Wests Tigers	42% 58%	St. George Illawarra Dragons	12–24
Sunday, 6:15 pm	Canberra Raiders	76% 24%	Gold Coast Titans	21–20*

Round 7 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 7:50 pm	Sydney Roosters	33% 67%	Melbourne Storm	12–18
Friday, 6:00 pm	St. George Illawarra Dragons	78% 22%	New Zealand Warriors	30–12
Friday, 8:00 pm	Parramatta Eels	78% 22%	Dolphins	16–44
Saturday, 3:00 pm	Penrith Panthers	78% 22%	Wests Tigers	22–6
Saturday, 5:30 pm	Gold Coast Titans	32% 68%	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	30–34
Saturday, 7:35 pm	Brisbane Broncos	31% 69%	Canberra Raiders	34–10
Sunday, 2:00 pm	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	77% 23%	Newcastle Knights	36–12
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	61% 39%	North Queensland Cowboys	42–6

Round 8 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 2:00 pm	New Zealand Warriors	39% 61%	Gold Coast Titans	24–27
Thursday, 4:00 pm	St. George Illawarra Dragons	41% 59%	Sydney Roosters	18–60
Thursday, 7:50 pm	Melbourne Storm	77% 23%	South Sydney Rabbitohs	54–20
Friday, 8:00 pm	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	39% 61%	Parramatta Eels	32–18
Saturday, 5:30 pm	Wests Tigers	32% 68%	Brisbane Broncos	10–34
Saturday, 7:35 pm	North Queensland Cowboys	33% 67%	Penrith Panthers	20–26
Sunday, 2:00 pm	Dolphins	78% 22%	Newcastle Knights	14–18
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Canberra Raiders	31% 69%	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	0–40

Round 9 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 7:50 pm	South Sydney Rabbitohs	33% 67%	Penrith Panthers	12–42
Friday, 6:00 pm	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	38% 62%	Canberra Raiders	24–26
Friday, 8:00 pm	Brisbane Broncos	40% 60%	Sydney Roosters	18–40
Saturday, 3:00 pm	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	78% 22%	Wests Tigers	22–14
Saturday, 5:30 pm	Gold Coast Titans	32% 68%	Melbourne Storm	20–22
Saturday, 7:35 pm	North Queensland Cowboys	72% 28%	Dolphins	26–28
Sunday, 2:00 pm	Newcastle Knights	71% 29%	New Zealand Warriors	14–8
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	78% 22%	St. George Illawarra Dragons	20–10

Round 10 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 7:50 pm	Dolphins	77% 23%	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	30–24
Friday, 6:00 pm	Penrith Panthers	77% 23%	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	16–10
Friday, 8:00 pm	Parramatta Eels	70% 30%	Brisbane Broncos	14–30
Saturday, 3:00 pm	Wests Tigers	32% 68%	Newcastle Knights	14–20
Saturday, 5:30 pm	St. George Illawarra Dragons	40% 60%	South Sydney Rabbitohs	28–14
Saturday, 7:35 pm	Melbourne Storm	46% 54%	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	18–25
Sunday, 2:00 pm	Sydney Roosters	77% 23%	New Zealand Warriors	38–18
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Gold Coast Titans	39% 61%	North Queensland Cowboys	20–18

Round 11 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Friday, 6:00 pm	Canberra Raiders	76% 24%	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	24–20
Friday, 8:05 pm	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	38% 62%	Brisbane Broncos	12–13
Saturday, 3:00 pm	Gold Coast Titans	70% 30%	Newcastle Knights	24–28
Saturday, 5:30 pm	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	72% 28%	Sydney Roosters	38–30
Saturday, 7:45 pm	South Sydney Rabbitohs	32% 68%	North Queensland Cowboys	22–28
Sunday, 1:50 pm	New Zealand Warriors	32% 68%	Penrith Panthers	22–20
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Melbourne Storm	58% 42%	Parramatta Eels	48–16
Sunday, 6:25 pm	Wests Tigers	72% 28%	Dolphins	12–24

Round 12 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 7:50 pm	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	32% 68%	St. George Illawarra Dragons	44–12
Friday, 6:00 pm	North Queensland Cowboys	78% 22%	Wests Tigers	42–28
Friday, 8:00 pm	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	31% 69%	Melbourne Storm	26–20
Saturday, 3:00 pm	Canberra Raiders	32% 68%	Sydney Roosters	16–44
Saturday, 5:30 pm	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	40% 60%	Penrith Panthers	0–42
Saturday, 7:35 pm	South Sydney Rabbitohs	42% 58%	Parramatta Eels	42–26
Sunday, 2:00 pm	Brisbane Broncos	76% 24%	Gold Coast Titans	34–36
Sunday, 4:05 pm	New Zealand Warriors	71% 29%	Dolphins	24–20

Round 13 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 7:50 pm	Parramatta Eels	37% 63%	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	34–22
Friday, 8:00 pm	Newcastle Knights	39% 61%	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	2–32
Saturday, 5:30 pm	Penrith Panthers	78% 22%	St. George Illawarra Dragons	10–22
Saturday, 7:35 pm	Dolphins	76% 24%	Canberra Raiders	25–26*
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Sydney Roosters	48% 52%	North Queensland Cowboys	16–18

Round 14 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Friday, 8:00 pm	St. George Illawarra Dragons	78% 22%	Wests Tigers	56–14
Saturday, 3:00 pm	Gold Coast Titans	40% 60%	South Sydney Rabbitohs	12–46
Saturday, 5:30 pm	North Queensland Cowboys	77% 23%	New Zealand Warriors	12–42
Saturday, 7:35 pm	Brisbane Broncos	31% 69%	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	12–22
Sunday, 2:00 pm	Melbourne Storm	70% 30%	Newcastle Knights	36–28
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Penrith Panthers	76% 24%	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	32–22
Monday, 4:00 pm	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	40% 60%	Parramatta Eels	22–18

Round 15 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 7:50 pm	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	78% 22%	Dolphins	28–30
Friday, 6:00 pm	Canberra Raiders	40% 60%	North Queensland Cowboys	16–34
Friday, 8:00 pm	South Sydney Rabbitohs	76% 24%	Brisbane Broncos	22–12
Saturday, 3:00 pm	Wests Tigers	31% 69%	Gold Coast Titans	18–10
Saturday, 5:30 pm	New Zealand Warriors	39% 61%	Melbourne Storm	24–38
Saturday, 7:35 pm	Parramatta Eels	54% 46%	Sydney Roosters	18–28
Sunday, 2:00 pm	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	40% 60%	St. George Illawarra Dragons	30–14
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Newcastle Knights	33% 67%	Penrith Panthers	18–26

Round 16 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Friday, 8:00 pm	Dolphins	77% 23%	Melbourne Storm	24–30
Saturday, 3:00 pm	Gold Coast Titans	70% 30%	New Zealand Warriors	66–6
Saturday, 5:30 pm	Sydney Roosters	76% 24%	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	26–8
Saturday, 7:35 pm	South Sydney Rabbitohs	76% 24%	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	14–0
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Wests Tigers	32% 68%	Canberra Raiders	48–24

Round 17 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Friday, 8:00 pm	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	38% 62%	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	15–14*
Saturday, 3:00 pm	New Zealand Warriors	38% 62%	Brisbane Broncos	32–16
Saturday, 5:30 pm	Newcastle Knights	39% 61%	Parramatta Eels	34–26
Saturday, 7:35 pm	Melbourne Storm	76% 24%	Canberra Raiders	16–6
Sunday, 2:00 pm	St. George Illawarra Dragons	77% 23%	Dolphins	26–6
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Penrith Panthers	71% 29%	North Queensland Cowboys	6–16
Sunday, 6:15 pm	Sydney Roosters	77% 23%	Wests Tigers	40–6

Round 18 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 7:50 pm	Parramatta Eels	60% 40%	South Sydney Rabbitohs	16–32
Friday, 6:00 pm	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	69% 31%	Gold Coast Titans	16–20
Friday, 8:00 pm	Brisbane Broncos	32% 68%	Penrith Panthers	6–14
Saturday, 3:00 pm	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	71% 29%	New Zealand Warriors	13–12*
Saturday, 5:30pm	Wests Tigers	33% 67%	Melbourne Storm	28–40
Saturday, 7:35 pm	North Queensland Cowboys	76% 24%	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	20–21*
Sunday, 2:00 pm	Sydney Roosters	77% 23%	St. George Illawarra Dragons	42–12
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Canberra Raiders	76% 24%	Newcastle Knights	12–16

Round 19 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 7:50 pm	Dolphins	70% 30%	South Sydney Rabbitohs	36–28
Friday, 8:00 pm	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	69% 31%	Wests Tigers	58–6
Saturday, 5:30 pm	Gold Coast Titans	40% 60%	Parramatta Eels	24–16
Saturday, 7:35 pm	Brisbane Broncos	69% 31%	St. George Illawarra Dragons	26–30
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	76% 24%	Newcastle Knights	44–6

Round 20 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Friday, 8:00 pm	Canberra Raiders	68% 32%	New Zealand Warriors	20–18
Saturday, 3:00 pm	South Sydney Rabbitohs	77% 23%	Wests Tigers	42–28
Saturday, 5:30 pm	Newcastle Knights	40% 60%	Brisbane Broncos	14–30
Saturday, 7:35 pm	Melbourne Storm	77% 23%	Sydney Roosters	24–8
Sunday, 2:00 pm	Penrith Panthers	77% 23%	Dolphins	28–26
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	76% 24%	Gold Coast Titans	38–8
Sunday, 6:15 pm	North Queensland Cowboys	68% 32%	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	20–18

Round 21 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Friday, 6:00 pm	New Zealand Warriors	59% 41%	Wests Tigers	28–16
Friday, 8:00 pm	Parramatta Eels	51% 49%	Melbourne Storm	14–32
Saturday, 3:00 pm	Brisbane Broncos	68% 32%	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	16–41
Saturday, 5:30 pm	North Queensland Cowboys	59% 41%	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	30–22
Saturday, 7:35 pm	Sydney Roosters	77% 23%	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	34–30
Sunday, 2:00 pm	St. George Illawarra Dragons	33% 67%	Penrith Panthers	10–46
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Dolphins	70% 30%	Gold Coast Titans	14–21
Sunday, 6:15 pm	Canberra Raiders	44% 56%	South Sydney Rabbitohs	32–12

Round 22 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 7:50 pm	Wests Tigers	32% 68%	North Queensland Cowboys	30–48
Friday, 6:00 pm	New Zealand Warriors	41% 59%	Parramatta Eels	20–30
Friday, 8:00 pm	Dolphins	71% 29%	Sydney Roosters	34–40
Saturday, 3:00 pm	Gold Coast Titans	39% 61%	Brisbane Broncos	46–18
Saturday, 5:30 pm	Melbourne Storm	77% 23%	St. George Illawarra Dragons	16–18
Saturday, 7:35 pm	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	63% 37%	South Sydney Rabbitohs	20–6
Sunday, 2:00 pm	Penrith Panthers	77% 23%	Newcastle Knights	22–14
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	39% 61%	Canberra Raiders	22–18

Round 23 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 7:50 pm	South Sydney Rabbitohs	31% 69%	Melbourne Storm	16–28
Friday, 6:00 pm	Gold Coast Titans	40% 60%	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	0–44
Friday, 8:00 pm	Parramatta Eels	32% 68%	Penrith Panthers	34–36
Saturday, 3:00 pm	Canberra Raiders	68% 32%	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	24–46
Saturday, 5:30 pm	North Queensland Cowboys	76% 24%	Brisbane Broncos	18–42
Saturday, 7:35 pm	St. George Illawarra Dragons	68% 32%	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	10–28
Sunday, 2:00 pm	Dolphins	69% 31%	New Zealand Warriors	34–32*
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Newcastle Knights	77% 23%	Wests Tigers	34–18

Round 24 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 7:50 pm	Penrith Panthers	71% 29%	Melbourne Storm	22–24
Friday, 6:00 pm	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	76% 24%	New Zealand Warriors	24–10
Friday, 8:00 pm	Sydney Roosters	61% 39%	Parramatta Eels	38–14
Saturday, 3:00 pm	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	77% 23%	Dolphins	30–10
Saturday, 5:30 pm	North Queensland Cowboys	75% 25%	Canberra Raiders	42–4
Saturday, 7:35 pm	Wests Tigers	32% 68%	South Sydney Rabbitohs	18–16
Sunday, 2:00 pm	St. George Illawarra Dragons	67% 33%	Gold Coast Titans	32–16
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	76% 24%	Newcastle Knights	19–18*

Round 25 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 7:50 pm	Wests Tigers	32% 68%	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	34–26
Friday, 6:00 pm	New Zealand Warriors	37% 63%	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	18–34
Friday, 8:00 pm	Brisbane Broncos	42% 58%	Parramatta Eels	30–24
Saturday, 3:00 pm	Canberra Raiders	32% 68%	Penrith Panthers	22–18
Saturday, 5:30 pm	Melbourne Storm	78% 22%	Dolphins	48–6
Saturday, 7:35 pm	South Sydney Rabbitohs	76% 24%	Newcastle Knights	16–36
Sunday, 2:00 pm	Gold Coast Titans	43% 57%	Sydney Roosters	22–48
Sunday, 4:05 pm	St. George Illawarra Dragons	31% 69%	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	10–38

Round 26 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 7:50 pm	North Queensland Cowboys	61% 39%	Melbourne Storm	38–30
Friday, 6:00 pm	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	52% 48%	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	22–34
Friday, 8:00 pm	Penrith Panthers	77% 23%	South Sydney Rabbitohs	34–12
Saturday, 3:00 pm	Parramatta Eels	70% 30%	St. George Illawarra Dragons	44–40
Saturday, 5:30 pm	Dolphins	67% 33%	Brisbane Broncos	40–6
Saturday, 7:35 pm	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	76% 24%	New Zealand Warriors	28–30
Sunday, 2:00 pm	Newcastle Knights	40% 60%	Gold Coast Titans	36–14
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Sydney Roosters	75% 25%	Canberra Raiders	12–14

Round 27 2024

	Home	Model win probability	Away	Final
Thursday, 7:50 pm	Brisbane Broncos	31% 69%	Melbourne Storm	12–50
Friday, 6:00 pm	Wests Tigers	41% 59%	Parramatta Eels	26–60
Friday, 8:00 pm	South Sydney Rabbitohs	33% 67%	Sydney Roosters	28–36
Saturday, 3:00 pm	St. George Illawarra Dragons	30% 70%	Canberra Raiders	24–26
Saturday, 5:30 pm	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	41% 59%	North Queensland Cowboys	6–44
Saturday, 7:35 pm	Penrith Panthers	76% 24%	Gold Coast Titans	18–12
Sunday, 2:00 pm	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	31% 69%	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	20–40
Sunday, 4:05 pm	Newcastle Knights	78% 22%	Dolphins	14–6